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Heat Pumps

Air Source Heat Pump vs Oil Boiler and LPG: Running Costs and the Switch Across the High Peak, Greater Manchester, Sheffield and Leeds

On this autumn’s oil prices, a heat pump at SCOP 3.0 or better makes each kWh of heat for less than an oil boiler.

Illustration of a floor standing oil boiler in a lime washed stone boiler room beside a photo of a Stiebel Eltron air source heat pump on a galvanised bracket against a stone wall, for oil and LPG homes in the High Peak, Greater Manchester, Sheffield and Leeds

Key Takeaways

  • Heating oil averaged 94.67p a litre in September 2026 (Sutherland Tables, cited by Which?). Nottingham Energy Partnership’s October 2026 table puts East Midlands kerosene at 120.99p a litre.
  • At the October to December 2026 price cap, a heat pump running at SCOP 3.5 makes heat for 7.52p per kWh. Oil at 94.67p costs 9.68p per kWh of heat, even with a boiler that wastes nothing.
  • Oil beats that heat pump below about 73.5p a litre. For LPG the line sits near 51p a litre. Your own invoice tells you which side you are on.
  • Off-gas homes heated by oil or LPG can get £9,000 from the Boiler Upgrade Scheme until March 2027. Claims run through MCS certification, and ours is in progress.
  • An OFTEC-qualified technician decommissions an old oil tank. An LPG tank on a typical contract belongs to your supplier, so the notice terms in that contract set your dates.
In This Guide

Find the last delivery note for your oil or LPG tank and look for the price per litre. Set that one number against the electricity price cap and the efficiency a heat pump design reaches, and you know which system costs less to run in your house this winter. The sums below use prices published in September and October 2026, and you can rerun them with your own figure in a couple of minutes.

What a Litre of Oil or LPG Buys You

A Stiebel Eltron heat pump on a plinth in the side return of a red brick and stone house, and a white hot water cylinder in an airing cupboard with copper pipework, for oil boiler replacement in Marple

Suppliers sell oil and LPG by the litre, and your electricity bill counts kWh, so you need both in the same unit before you compare them. Nottingham Energy Partnership publishes a monthly fuel cost table, and its October 2026 edition uses 9.78 kWh for a litre of kerosene and 6.78 kWh for a litre of LPG. Divide your price per litre by that figure and you have the cost of a kWh of fuel.

Heating oil prices this autumn

Three published figures cover this autumn, and they sit about 26p a litre apart:

Three Published Oil Prices

  • Sutherland Tables, September 2026 average: 94.67p a litre, as cited by Which? in its heating oil price guide. Which? does not say whether VAT is included.
  • BoilerJuice, 13 October 2026: 112.13p a litre for a 1,000-litre order, before 5% VAT. With VAT that comes to 117.74p.
  • Nottingham Energy Partnership, October 2026: 120.99p a litre, an average of supplier quotes in the East Midlands.

Derbyshire sits in the East Midlands, so the Nottingham Energy Partnership figure is the nearest published match for a delivery to New Mills, Chinley or the Hope Valley. Order size and the distance from the depot move any quote up or down from there.

LPG prices

We found no free national average for bulk LPG published this autumn. Sutherland Tables sells its figures to subscribers, and the October 2026 Nottingham Energy Partnership table leaves its LPG line blank. Your supplier’s last invoice holds the number that counts, and the break-even table further down turns it into an answer.

If your contract carries a yearly tank or standing charge, add it to the LPG side of the sum. Switch to a heat pump and that charge ends with the deliveries.

The Heat Pump Side of the Sum

Ofgem’s price cap for 1 October to 31 December 2026 sets electricity at 26.32p per kWh, as a Great Britain average for direct debit customers (Ofgem, Energy price cap unit rates and standing charges, checked 13 October 2026). A heat pump turns each kWh of electricity into several kWh of heat. Averaged across a whole heating season, that ratio is the SCOP, the seasonal coefficient of performance.

Divide 26.32p by the SCOP and you get the price of a kWh of heat:

SCOP of the designElectricity price at the capCost per kWh of heat
3.026.32p8.77p
3.326.32p7.98p
3.526.32p7.52p
4.026.32p6.58p

We design our systems to a target SCOP of 3.5 to 4.0 where the house allows it, and write the figure your design reaches into your quote. Radiator size and flow temperature decide where in that range a house lands, which our guide to heat pump costs to install and run works through in detail.

Ofgem’s page also confirms there is no VAT on electricity from 1 October 2026 to 31 March 2027. If 5% VAT returns in April 2027 at today’s cap, the unit price becomes 27.64p and each heat figure above rises by 5%.

For a house on mains gas the comparison runs against 7.97p per kWh of gas, and the break-even sits at a SCOP of 3.3. Oil and LPG homes face a different sum. Oil at this autumn’s prices costs more per kWh than gas, and the LPG figure depends on the price in your contract.

Air Source Heat Pump vs Oil Boiler, Worked Through

Ofgem’s typical medium household uses 9,500 kWh of gas a year (Ofgem, Review of typical domestic consumption values: decision, 27 May 2026). Treat that as the heat the house needs and run it through each fuel. The oil boiler counts as 100% efficient here, which flatters it: Nottingham Energy Partnership assumes 90% for a real one.

SystemCost per kWh of heatFuel used in a yearYearly fuel cost
Oil boiler, oil at 94.67p a litre9.68p971 litres£919.60
Oil boiler, oil at 117.74p a litre12.04p971 litres£1,143.69
Oil boiler, oil at 120.99p a litre12.37p971 litres£1,175.26
Heat pump at SCOP 3.08.77p3,167 kWh£833.47
Heat pump at SCOP 3.57.52p2,714 kWh£714.40
Heat pump at SCOP 4.06.58p2,375 kWh£625.10

At the September average, a heat pump at SCOP 3.5 comes in £205.20 a year below the oil boiler. At the East Midlands October figure the gap grows to £460.86. Put Nottingham Energy Partnership’s 90% boiler efficiency back in and oil heat costs 10.76p and 13.75p per kWh at those two prices, so the gaps widen again.

The table leaves standing charges out, and they make no difference here. An oil house has no gas standing charge to drop, and the electricity standing charge stays the same whether or not a heat pump arrives.

The oil price where the sums cross

Turn the table round and you get the oil price per litre at which an oil boiler matches the heat pump:

Heat pump cost per kWh of heat multiplied by heat in each litre of kerosene equals oil price that matches the heat pump: 73.5p a litre at SCOP 3.5.

SCOP of the designOil matches the heat pump atIf 5% VAT returns to electricity
3.085.8p a litre90.1p a litre
3.378.0p a litre81.9p a litre
3.573.5p a litre77.2p a litre
4.064.4p a litre67.6p a litre

Above the figure on your design’s row, the heat pump costs less to run. Below it, oil does.

LPG Boiler Replacement: The Break-Even Price Per Litre

A like-for-like LPG boiler replacement keeps the tank, the contract and the deliveries. A heat pump removes all three, so the running-cost question comes down to the price per litre you pay today. Using 6.78 kWh a litre and an LPG boiler treated as perfect:

SCOP of the designLPG matches the heat pump atIf 5% VAT returns to electricity
3.059.5p a litre62.5p a litre
3.354.1p a litre56.8p a litre
3.551.0p a litre53.5p a litre
4.044.6p a litre46.8p a litre

If your invoice shows a price above the line for your design, the heat pump makes each kWh of heat for less than your LPG boiler does. Add any yearly tank charge on top, and the gap widens.

Last Year’s Oil Price, and Why the Sums Move

The inlet valves, pressure gauge and tundish on a white hot water cylinder, and a Stiebel Eltron air source heat pump on a slab beside a larch clad barn conversion, for LPG boiler replacement in Chinley

Oil prices can move a long way in a year. Which? notes that September 2026’s average sat nearly 40p a litre above September 2025’s. At last year’s price, oil came in under the bottom row of the oil table, so an oil boiler would have cost less to run than even a SCOP 4.0 heat pump.

A heat pump ties your heating to the price cap, which Ofgem resets every three months. Oil and LPG tie it to the price on the day you order, and in a cheap year oil can still come out ahead. The heat pump side of the sum depends on the design hitting its SCOP winter after winter, so the radiator sizing and the commissioning set your bills for the life of the system.

Your own house moves the numbers too. A solid stone farmhouse outside Peak Forest and a cavity-walled bungalow in Chapel-en-le-Frith can need different amounts of heat. Each line in the tables scales with that figure, which is why the survey replaces Ofgem’s 9,500 kWh with a room-by-room heat loss for your house.

The £9,000 Grant for Oil and LPG Homes

Any Eligible Heat Pump

The Boiler Upgrade Scheme takes £7,500 off an eligible air source or ground source heat pump in England and Wales.

Oil Or LPG With No Mains Gas

Homes heated by oil or LPG with no mains gas connection get an extra £1,500 until March 2027, so £9,000 in all

Source: GOV.UK, Apply for the Boiler Upgrade Scheme: What you can get, checked 13 October 2026

On grants paid between April and June 2026, a quarter of air source heat pump jobs came to more than £15,627 before the grant (DESNZ, Boiler Upgrade Scheme statistics, August 2026 release, published 24 September 2026). An eligible oil or LPG home at that figure would pay £6,627 once the £9,000 comes off.

The same GOV.UK page rules out a grant for a hybrid system, such as a boiler kept alongside the heat pump. For the grant, the old oil or LPG boiler has to go.

Houses off the gas grid, like those in Edale and parts of the Hope Valley, and the oil and LPG houses around Chinley, are the homes that extra £1,500 is for. Grant claims run through MCS certification and ours is in progress, so ask at the survey and you get the current position.

Taking Out the Oil Tank, or Ending the LPG Contract

An oil tank

Nottinghamshire County Council’s guidance says an OFTEC technician, or another technician with the right qualifications, should decommission an oil tank, and warns householders against doing it themselves. BoilerJuice sets out the usual sequence in its tank removal guide:

How An Oil Tank Comes Out

  • The engineer measures the oil left in the tank and checks the contaminated layer at the bottom.
  • A pump moves the clean oil into a holding tank.
  • The sludge from the bottom goes into a waste container for disposal at a licensed site.
  • The engineer cleans, de-gasses and disconnects the tank, tests it as gas-free and issues a certificate.
  • After removal, you receive a Waste Transfer Notice covering the hazardous waste.

Time your last delivery with the switch in mind. A tank run low before the heat pump goes in leaves less oil to deal with, and you keep heating until the day the new system takes over.

An LPG tank

On a typical bulk LPG contract, your supplier owns the tank and supplies the gas, and an exclusive contract can run for up to two years (GOV.UK, Advice on switching bulk LPG supplier). Read your contract for the notice period and what it says about collecting the tank. Give notice so the supply runs until our engineers have commissioned the heat pump, and the tank leaves after that.

What Changes in the House

The switch from oil or LPG touches four places: the outside wall, the boiler space, the radiators and the hot water. We put each one in the written design before you agree to anything, so you know what the house looks like afterwards.

Outside

Outside, the unit stands on a ground base or a wall bracket, with a pipe route through the wall and its own electrical supply. The unit in our photos sits on a galvanised bracket against an 18th-century stone wall. Its position decides how it sounds to you and the neighbours, and whether planning rules apply. Inside the National Park, in villages such as Edale and Castleton, the Peak District National Park Authority handles planning, and we check the rules for your house inside the design. Our guide to heat pump noise, siting and planning covers the detail.

The oil tank or LPG tank then leaves the garden, and the space it took comes back to you.

The boiler space

The old boiler and its flue come out, which frees the wall or cupboard the boiler filled. A combi house often gives that space straight back to the hot water cylinder described below.

Radiators

Heat pump water runs round the radiators cooler than oil-boiler water, so a room stays warm only if its radiators have the surface to match. Our design lists which radiators get bigger and which stay, and adds underfloor heating only where a room’s numbers need it.

Hot water

Your hot water sits ready in a cylinder that the heat pump keeps reheated. A house with an oil or LPG combi has no cylinder today, so the design finds it a home: an airing cupboard, a corner of the utility or a loft with a floor strong enough to take the weight. A house with a system boiler already has one, and the question becomes whether its coil works at heat pump temperatures.

On the day and after

The install takes between one week and one month, depending on the size of the house and the system. At commissioning we set the flow temperatures and prove them against the design numbers, register the warranty in your name and explain the controls. After that, a yearly heat pump service keeps the system running at the temperatures we designed it for.

The fear in old stone houses tends to sound like “I’m just worried we won’t be warm enough with stone walls.” Nesta surveyed more than 2,500 heat pump owners, and 83% of those with one fitted in a home built before 1900 were as satisfied or more satisfied than with their old heating (Nesta, Heat pumps: a user survey, May 2023). Fraser’s 18th-century end terrace, which we designed and fitted, now holds 19°C all year round.

A Stiebel Eltron heat pump on a plinth beside the back door of a stone farmhouse with fields behind, and a thermal camera reading a room wall on a heat loss survey, for oil and LPG homes around Buxton

Oil and LPG Homes From Edale to Leeds

Off-gas homes cluster where the gas main stops, and round us that means Edale and parts of the Hope Valley, east of New Mills. Edale has no mains gas at all. In a Hope Valley Climate Action survey of Edale, half the homes that answered heat with oil and 16% with LPG (Hope Valley Climate Action, Edale Energy, read 6 October 2026). Parts of the Hope Valley beyond Edale sit off the main as well, and we survey Castleton, Hope, Bradwell, Bamford and Hathersage from the same base.

Around Chinley, the 2021 Census counted 7.4% of households on oil and 2.9% on bottled gas, against 1.8% and 0.8% across High Peak as a whole. Hayfield runs the other way: 81.3% of its households heat with mains gas alone and 1.3% with oil. Those oil homes get the same survey as anywhere else, and so do houses in Peak Forest, Buxton and the villages towards Chapel-en-le-Frith.

Our engineers work from New Mills, and our heat pump installation surveys reach across Greater Manchester and out to Sheffield and Leeds. The survey, the room-by-room design and the running-cost sums follow one method wherever the house sits, built from your own oil or LPG price.

What the Survey Puts on Paper

We don’t publish a heat pump price. The heat loss, the radiators and the outdoor work set it, and our lead engineer hasn’t measured your rooms yet. The survey ends with a written design and a fixed quote, and the invoice matches the quote. The design shows:

  • Each room’s heat loss, measured on the day by our lead engineer
  • The unit sized from those losses, the outdoor spot and each radiator we enlarge
  • Your oil or LPG price per litre set against the price cap in force on the day we write it, worked line by line
  • A fitting window fixed before work starts, from one week to one month depending on the house and the system
  • Our 2-year workmanship guarantee, alongside the manufacturer’s warranty

If the sums say a heat pump would cost you more to run than your oil or LPG boiler, the design tells you so before you commit any money.

Questions From Oil and LPG Homes

Is an air source heat pump cheaper to run than an oil boiler in the High Peak?

At the October to December 2026 cap and this autumn’s oil prices, a heat pump at SCOP 3.0 or above costs less per kWh of heat than oil, even with the oil boiler treated as perfect. The line crosses at 73.5p a litre for a SCOP 3.5 design. Oil has dipped below that line in past years, so we run the sum on your own price at the survey.

What does it cost to replace an oil boiler with a heat pump in Greater Manchester or Sheffield?

DESNZ figures put a quarter of air source heat pump jobs on grants paid April to June 2026 above £15,627 before the grant. An eligible oil or LPG home claiming £9,000 at that figure pays £6,627. Your own price comes from the survey, and the quote is fixed.

Can I keep my oil boiler as a backup in Chinley or Edale?

GOV.UK rules out the Boiler Upgrade Scheme grant for a hybrid system, where a boiler stays alongside the heat pump. To claim the £9,000, the oil or LPG boiler comes out and the heat pump heats the house on its own.

How long does the switch from oil or LPG take in a Peak District stone house?

Plan on one week to one month, depending on the size of the house and the system. Your quote fixes the duration before we start, and the tank can stay in place until the heat pump is running.

What happens to my LPG tank in the Hope Valley?

On a typical contract your supplier owns the tank, so you give notice under your contract and arrange the collection with the supplier. Set the end date after our commissioning day so the house stays warm through the changeover.

Do you survey oil and LPG homes as far as Leeds?

Yes. We survey heat pump jobs across the High Peak, Greater Manchester, Sheffield and Leeds, and an off-gas house anywhere in that area gets the same design and running-cost workings.

Lewis Harding, head plumber and gas engineer at First Point Plumbing and Heating, smiling in a black company hoodie

Lewis Harding

Head Plumber and Gas Engineer

Lewis has ten years in the trade. He started on his own, fitting boilers and bathrooms, and has spent the past year on heat pump and system design.

  • Gas Safe 930763
  • F-Gas FGAS3028681
  • Which? Trusted Trader
About Lewis And The Team

Sources

  1. Which?, Getting the best heating oil prices (Sutherland Tables figure for September 2026), checked 13 October 2026
  2. BoilerJuice, Heating oil prices (UK average for 1,000 litres, excluding 5% VAT), read 13 October 2026
  3. Nottingham Energy Partnership, Energy cost comparison, October 2026 table, checked 13 October 2026
  4. Ofgem, Energy price cap unit rates and standing charges, checked 13 October 2026
  5. Ofgem, Review of typical domestic consumption values: decision (27 May 2026)
  6. GOV.UK, Apply for the Boiler Upgrade Scheme: What you can get, checked 13 October 2026
  7. DESNZ, Boiler Upgrade Scheme statistics: August 2026 (published 24 September 2026)
  8. GOV.UK, Advice on switching bulk LPG supplier (published 24 May 2022), checked 13 October 2026
  9. Nottinghamshire County Council, Oil tanks, checked 13 October 2026
  10. BoilerJuice, Oil tank removal and disposal (updated 24 April 2026), checked 13 October 2026
  11. Nesta, Heat pumps: a user survey (May 2023)
  12. Hope Valley Climate Action, Edale Energy
  13. Office for National Statistics, Census 2021, table TS046 (central heating), via Nomis

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See The Sums Run On Your Own House

Book the free design survey and we run your house through the tables above: the heat loss our lead engineer measures room by room, your own price per litre and the price cap in force that week. You get a fixed written quote with the working attached, and our office replies within one working day.